When Can We Anticipate Home Heating Prices to Subside?

With winter weather settling in, homeowners in the U.S. are experiencing the challenge of home heating costs. Recent years have seen a remarkable increase in energy prices, leaving many searching for answers and relief. Learn what impacts home heating prices, the recent trends we’ve seen and strategies to keep your utility bills in check.

Varieties of Home Heating Fuel

Several fuels are used to heat homes in the United States:

  • Natural gas heats 48% of American homes.
  • Heating oil serves 5% of homes.
  • Propane accounts for another 5%.
  • Electricity warms 40% of U.S. homes. Fossil fuels remain the most used source for creating electricity even with the increase in renewable energy sources like wind and solar. 

What Factors Impact the Cost of Fossil Fuels?

Based on the above information, it’s apparent that fossil fuels heat a vast majority of North American households. Supply and demand is the biggest factor driving price fluctuations. An increase in supply—triggered by higher production and storage rates—usually lowers prices, while a spike in demand—caused by extreme weather, a thriving economy and rising rates for alternative fuels—can cause prices to climb.

Exactly How Much Has the Cost of Natural Gas Risen?

Domestic natural gas production outpaced consumption starting in 2017, causing a general price decline in all of 2018. However, demand has surged recently across all sectors, causing natural gas prices to hit heights not seen in more than decade.

In 2022, the average wholesale cost of U.S. natural gas surged to its highest price since 2008, hitting an average of $6.45 per million British thermal units (MMBtu). This surge represented a major leap of over 53% from the previous year, marking it as one of the steepest annual increases ever recorded.

Many factors led to the erratic rise and uncertainty of natural gas prices last year. In early 2022, processing hiccups caused by freeze-offs and a substantial draw from natural gas reserves nudged prices up. Robust liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports to Europe and elsewhere, paired with a spike in domestic demand because of cold weather, stretched the price range even further.

In the spring of 2022, prices jumped past $9/MMBtu, only to fall by 40% following the fire and subsequent closure of the Freeport LNG export terminal. This incident sharply cut U.S. LNG exports and redirected more natural gas toward storage. Unfortunately, as the summer heat ebbed, prices climbed again, reaching a peak in late August.

Shifting into the fall, an increase in natural gas production and higher-than-average injections into storage saw prices retreat closer to the five-year average. But, as temperatures dropped, the demand for heating caused prices to go up once more.

When Will Prices Cool Down?

The fluctuations in natural gas prices are indicative of the complicated interplay of factors influencing home heating prices. As we look onward to the rest of the 2023-24 heating season, the market’s past behavior offers insights into future price trends and the prospect of cost-saving options.

As of late 2023, prices have decreased from their previous highs due to robust production and reasonably mellow temperatures. Although demand is still steady, forecasters anticipate prices around $3.44/MMBtu this winter, providing some respite for property owners as we move through the heating season.

Ways to Cut Your Heating Bill

No matter how you heat your home or what prices are like, you can take several easy steps to increase energy efficiency and reduce your heating bills. Here are a few suggestions:

  • Seal drafty windows and doors with caulk and weatherstripping.
  • Use curtains to your advantage, opening them during the day for free light and heat and then drawing them closed each night to insulate your windows.
  • Increase your attic insulation to prevent heat from rising out of your home.
  • Invest in a smart thermostat that learns your habits and helps you save money.
  • Lower the temperature on your thermostat when you’re out so you don’t pay extra to heat an empty house.
  • Don warmer clothes indoors so you don’t need to crank up the thermostat.
  • Plan yearly furnace maintenance to keep your heating system in good working order.
  • Use a whole-house humidifier. Moist air feels warmer than dry air, so you feel more cozy at a lower temperature.

Keep Cozy and Warm in the U.S. with Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing

Nothing is of greater importance to the Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing team than your comfort and happiness in your home. Our heating solutions can also help reduce home heating costs, which is great news for your finances. With ACE-certified technicians at the helm, you can expect quality, durable remedies to all your comfort needs. Our company’s 100% satisfaction guarantee means that if you’re not truly happy with our services, we promise to make things right.

As a company that prides itself on innovation, customer engagement and community support, you can trust Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing to make a significant difference in your life and sense of comfort. For more insights into heating prices in the U.S. or personalized methods to help lower your utility bills, get a hold of the professionals at Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing. Call 866-397-3787 today to learn more.

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